| Week | Date | Result | Opponent | Score | ELO Before | ELO Change | ELO After | Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Aug 30 2025 | L | Purdue | 0-31 | 1288.0 | -60.3 | 1227.7 | 19.0% |
| 3 | Sep 6 2025 | L | Auburn | 3-42 | 1227.7 | -6.4 | 1221.3 | 2.3% |
| 4 | Sep 13 2025 | W | New Hampshire | 34-29 | 1221.3 | -5.0 | 1216.3 | 60.9% |
| 5 | Sep 20 2025 | L | UConn | 25-31 | 1216.3 | +46.4 | 1262.7 | 10.3% |
| 7 | Oct 4 2025 | W | Ohio | 20-14 | 1263.1 | +65.0 | 1328.1 | 10.6% |
| 8 | Oct 11 2025 | L | Western Michigan | 0-42 | 1328.1 | -72.8 | 1255.3 | 25.0% |
| 9 | Oct 18 2025 | W | Akron | 42-28 | 1255.3 | +28.3 | 1283.6 | 52.0% |
| 10 | Oct 25 2025 | L | Northern Illinois | 7-21 | 1283.6 | -12.6 | 1271.0 | 35.3% |
| 12 | Nov 5 2025 | W | Kent State | 17-13 | 1270.3 | -3.7 | 1266.6 | 61.2% |
| 13 | Nov 15 2025 | L | Eastern Michigan | 9-24 | 1266.6 | -22.0 | 1244.6 | 40.8% |
| 14 | Nov 22 2025 | L | Toledo | 9-38 | 1244.6 | -3.4 | 1241.2 | 6.2% |
| 15 | Nov 29 2025 | L | Miami (OH) | 24-45 | 1241.2 | -4.7 | 1236.5 | 13.7% |