| Week | Date | Result | Opponent | Score | ELO Before | ELO Change | ELO After | Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 2026 | L | Ohio State | 3-56 | 1335.0 | -12.1 | 1322.9 | 0.4% |
| 2 | Sep 12 2026 | W | Stony Brook | 41-17 | 1322.9 | +28.3 | 1351.2 | 65.6% |
| 3 | Sep 19 2026 | L | Liberty | 15-51 | 1351.2 | -51.1 | 1300.1 | 28.9% |
| 4 | Sep 26 2026 | L | Kent State | 13-26 | 1300.1 | +0.8 | 1300.9 | 48.1% |
| 5 | Oct 3 2026 | L | Toledo | 24-39 | 1300.9 | +31.3 | 1332.2 | 4.6% |
| 6 | Oct 10 2026 | L | Northwestern | 14-45 | 1332.2 | +18.1 | 1350.3 | 1.4% |